Riyadh: Banks operating in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region, particularly Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are poised for robust credit growth in 2025, fueled by high oil prices and economic diversification initiatives.   

Saudi Arabia's Bright Outlook

Fitch Ratings projects that Saudi banks will experience a significant 12% financing growth in 2025, nearly double the GCC average. The Kingdom's Vision 2030 initiative, aimed at diversifying the economy, is expected to accelerate this growth, with corporates accounting for a substantial portion of new financing.   

UAE: A Strong Performer

UAE banks are also set to benefit from favorable conditions, with an anticipated 9% loan growth in 2025. Strong liquidity, supported by government deposits and robust fiscal metrics, will further bolster the sector.   

Diversified Growth Across the Region

While Saudi Arabia and the UAE lead the charge, other GCC countries also show promise:

Egypt: Falling inflation, improved investor confidence, and healthy foreign currency liquidity are expected to strengthen the banking sector.
Bahrain: Lower lending rates and stable asset quality will contribute to a reasonable credit growth of 4.5%.
Kuwait: Despite high-interest rates and moderate non-oil GDP growth, Kuwaiti banks will maintain strong liquidity and a 5-6% credit growth.
Oman: Vision 2040 will drive growth opportunities for banks, but reliance on government spending will remain a challenge.
Qatar: Improved business conditions and a pickup in credit growth to 5.5% are anticipated.
Jordan: While facing challenges, Jordan's banking sector is projected to achieve a 3.5% lending growth.

Cautious Optimism

While the overall outlook is positive, challenges such as geopolitical tensions and potential oil price volatility could impact the region's financial institutions. Nevertheless, with strong fundamentals and supportive government policies, GCC banks are well-positioned to navigate these uncertainties and capitalize on emerging opportunities.   

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