Lima, Peru – Peru's economic landscape is showing strong signs of positive momentum, as business expectations soared in February, according to the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF). This marks the ninth consecutive month of optimistic sentiment, painting a promising picture for the nation's economic future.
Data from the Central Reserve Bank of Peru's (BCR) Macroeconomic Expectations Survey reveals that all measured indicators for both 3-month and 12-month projections have remained within optimistic territory. Notably, expectations for the next three months reached 54.5 points, the highest level in over four years. Furthermore, 12-month economic expectations stood at 60.7 points, sustaining an optimistic trend for 15 consecutive months.
These positive expectations span various critical areas, including the overall economy, sector-specific performance, company situations, product demand, personnel hiring, and investment plans.
The MEF emphasizes that this sustained positive trend in business expectations suggests a favorable environment for investment decisions, job creation, and the consolidation of economic growth. The ministry projects a 4% economic growth rate for the current year.
To further stimulate investments and economic expansion, the MEF is developing a regulatory unblocking package aimed at streamlining procedures and reducing obstacles to investment implementation.
In parallel developments, the BCR reported that 12-month inflation expectations among economic analysts and the financial system have decreased from 2.37% in January to 2.28% in February 2025, remaining comfortably within the target inflation range.
Economic analysts anticipate a 2.20% inflation rate for the current year, slightly lower than the 2.45% projected in January. Financial system companies forecast a 2.30% inflation rate.
Looking ahead, inflation projections for 2026 and 2027 remain stable, with analysts, financial, and non-financial companies forecasting rates between 2.40% and 2.50%, all within the target range.
This confluence of positive business sentiment and controlled inflation underscores Peru's robust economic outlook, positioning the nation for sustained growth and investment.
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