BUENOS AIRES, Argentina – Former center-left Argentine President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (who served from 2007-2015) officially announced in a TV interview on June 3 (local time) that she will run as a provincial legislator candidate in the Buenos Aires provincial elections scheduled for September. This marks her first candidacy since stepping down as Vice President in 2023 and is expected to significantly impact the Argentine political landscape.

Kirchner's Candidacy Background and Strategy

Kirchner unequivocally stated in an interview with local broadcaster C5N, "As I have already said in several private settings, I will be a candidate," emphasizing the crucial importance of this provincial election for her opposition party, the Justicialist Party (Partido Justicialista). The Justicialist Party is currently the main opposition force against the far-right libertarian President Javier Milei.

Kirchner will run in the 'Third Electoral Section,' which includes 19 municipalities in the Greater Buenos Aires area. This region is a traditional stronghold and support base for Peronism, and Kirchner's strategy is to secure momentum for the national midterm elections in October through a victory here. She countered, "Who would think that if we don't do well in September in the heart of Peronism, we can do well in October?" thereby stressing the importance of the provincial election.

Buenos Aires Province: The Core of Argentine Politics

Buenos Aires Province, with an area of 307,571㎢ and a population of over 17.5 million, is the most populous and politically significant region in Argentina. A victory here has immense influence on national Argentine politics, and Kirchner's candidacy further highlights the political importance of this region. She maintained her political influence by serving as Vice President under former President Alberto Fernández (who served from 2019-2023) from 2019 to 2023.

Parliamentary Immunity and Judicial Risks

It is widely analyzed that Kirchner's current candidacy is deeply linked to her personal judicial risks. If she is elected as a provincial legislator, she would gain parliamentary immunity, potentially protecting her from several ongoing legal disputes.

Currently, Kirchner is politically incapacitated due to the 'Vialidad Case (Caso Vialidad)'. This case involves charges of 'fraudulent administration' related to road construction contracts during her presidential tenure, for which she received a 6-year prison sentence and a permanent ban on political activity in the second instance. This case is currently awaiting final review by the Supreme Court, and Kirchner's side has submitted the grounds for appeal.

Last May, the Argentine Prosecutor General appealed Kirchner's conviction to the Supreme Court, requesting that she be additionally charged with 'organizing an illicit association' to increase her sentence to 12 years. If she secures a legislative seat, it could be a significant turning point that would allow her to escape these judicial pressures. This interpretation adds weight to the idea that her candidacy is not merely a political comeback but also part of a judicial defense strategy.

Kirchner's current candidacy is expected to shake up Argentina's political landscape, and the upcoming September provincial elections and October midterm elections will significantly impact not only Kirchner's political future but also the direction of the Milei government. As political uncertainty grows in Argentina, the international community's attention is focused on Kirchner's actions.